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蒙古蔬菜生产和价值

 

  T ABLES

 AND

 FIGURES

  ............................................................................................................................ v

 F OREWORD

  ............................................................................................................................................ vii A CKNO WLEDGMENT S

  ........................................................................................................................ viii ABBREVIA TIONS

  .................................................................................................................................... ix

 EXE CUTIVE SU MMAR Y

  .......................................................................................................................... x

 1.

 KEY

 FINDINGS

  ...................................................................................................................................... 1

 1.1

 Curr ent

 Situation

 and

 P r ospects:

 Mark et

 and

 V alue

 Chain

  ........................................... 1

 1.2

 P otential

 I mpro v ement:

 Models,

 F easibility ,

 H igh-L ev el

 In v estment

 As ses sment,

 and

 Busines s

 Models

 f or

 V alue

 Chain

 Pla y ers

  ........................................................... 1

 1.2.1

 P otential

 I mpro v ements

 f or

 the

 Community

 Gr o w er

 Gr oups

  ............................... 2

 1.2.2

 P otential

 I mpro v ements

 f or

 T r aders,

 Aggr e gators,

 and

 Wholesalers

  ....................... 2

 1.2.3

 P otential

 I mpro v ements

 f or

 P roc es sors

 and

 R etailers

  ........................................ 3

 1.3

 R ec ommendations

 f or

 Appr oach

 to

 P ublic–P riv ate

 Sector

 Engagement

  ........................... 3

 1.3.1

 Actionable

 R ec ommendations

 on

 H o w

 to

 S upport

 Community

 Gr o w er

 Gr oups

  ........ 3

 1.3.2

 I dentification

 o f

 T ypes

 o f

 V ertical

 and

 H oriz ontal

 Coor dination

 Models

  .................. 4

 1.3.3

 Actions

 to

 F acilitate

 I ncr eased

 V alue

 Chain

 Coor dination

  ................................... 5

 2.

 MARKET A SSESS MENT

  ..................................................................................................................... 6

 2.1

 Sector

 Ov erview

  ............................................................................................. 6

 2.1.1

 I ntroduction

  ......................................................................................... 6

 2.1.2

 H istorical

 Context

  .................................................................................. 6

 2.1.3

 P olicy

 Context

  ....................................................................................... 7

 2.2

 Demand

 Analy sis:

 Who ,

 Wher e,

 P roducts,

 Quantities,

 Qualities,

 P ric es,

 T rends,

 and

 P r ospects

  ...................................................................................... 9

 2.2.1

 Demand

 ( Consumption)

  .......................................................................... 9

 2.2.2

 R elevanc e

 o f

 F ood

 Saf ety

 As suranc e

 and

 Quality

 S tandar ds

  .............................. 17

 2.3

 S upply

 Analy sis

  ............................................................................................. 20

 2.3.1

 Mark et

 Siz e:

 Wher e

 I s

 P r oduc e

 Gr o wn,

 H o w ,

 and

 in

 What

 Quantity?

  ................... 20

 2.3.2

 S upply

 Analy sis:

 What

 V egetables

 and

 Wher e

 F r om?

  ...................................... 20

 2.4

 D riv ers

 o f

 S upply

 P erf ormanc e

  ........................................................................... 33

 3.

 VAL UE CHAIN

 ANAL Y SIS

  ............................................................................................................... 34

 3.1

 V alue

 Chain

 Map:

 Mark eting

 Channels,

 R ev enues,

 Costs,

 Mar gins,

 and

 T rends

  ................ 34

 3.1.1

 Description

 o f

 the

 End-to-End

 V alue

 Chain

 f or

 V egetables

 in

 Mongolia

  ................ 34

 3.2

 Competitiv e

 Mark et

 Landscape:

 Shar es

 o f

 Domestic

 S uppliers,

 I mports,

 N atur e

 o f

 Competition,

 and

 T rends

  ..................................................................... 38

 3.2.1

 Who

 Ar e

 the

 Major

 S uppliers

 o f

 P romising

 Cr ops?

  .......................................... 38

 3.2.2

 Analy sis

 o f

 P r oduct

 P ric es

 in

 U laanbaatar

 Mark ets

  ......................................... 41

 3.2.3

 D istribution

 o f

 Mar gins

 Acr os s

 Se gments

 o f

 R elev ant

 V alue

 Chains

  ..................... 41

 3.3

 S tr engths

 and

 W eaknes ses

 o f

 V alue

 Chains

 in

 Meeting

 Mark et

 N eeds

 f or

 V olume,

 P rice,

 and

 Quality

  ........................................................................................... 50

 3.3.1

 D iscus sions

 o f

 K e y

 R esults

  ....................................................................... 50

 3.3.2

 P r ocur ement

 Sour ces,

 P r oduc ers,

 and

 Sour ces

 o f

 R a w

 Materials

  ......................... 52

 3.3.3

 E v aluation

 o f

 I mported

 Cr ops

 and

 R a w

 Materials,

 P r ospects

 o f

 Competition,

 and Sc ope

 f or

 I mport

 S ubstitution

  ........................................................................... 52

 3.3.4

 Sour ces

 o f

 Critical

 I nputs

 and

 T echnolo gies

  .................................................. 54

 3.4

 R ole

 o f

 Smallholder

 F armers

 in

 Meeting

 V alue

 Chain

 N eeds

  ....................................... 56

 4.

 TE CHNICAL

 ANAL Y SIS:

 C ONNE CTING

 S MALLHOLDER F AR MERS

 T O

 MARKET S

  .......... 57

 4.1

 I ntroduction

  ................................................................................................. 57

 4.2

 Models

 f or

 P otential

 I mpro vement

 o f

 Smallholder

 Community

 Gr o w er

 Gr oups

 in

 P r oject

 Soums

 to

 Meet

 Mark et

 N eeds

  ................................................................... 57

 4.2.1

 Base

 Case

 Model

  .................................................................................. 58

 4.2.2

 Alternativ e

 Cr ops

 Model

  ......................................................................... 59

 4.2.3

 V alue

 Chain

 Models

  ............................................................................... 60

 4.2.4

 K e y

 Constr aints

 f or

 Mark et

 Entry

 and

 Ac ces s

 to

 H igh- V alue

 Mark ets

  ................... 66

 4.2.5

 Actions

 to

 Ov er c ome

 Constr aints

  .............................................................. 67

 4.2.6

 F arm-L ev el

 E c onomic

 Analy sis

 and

 F inancial

 R equir ements

  .............................. 68

 4.3

 Analy sis

 o f

 Input

 S upply ,

 P roc es sing,

 Mark eting,

 and

 D istribution

  ................................ 70

 4.3.1

 K e y

 Constr aints,

 Actions,

 and

 In v estments

 b y

 the

 P ublic

 and

 P riv ate

 Sectors

  ..................................................................................... 71

 4.3.2

 P otential

 Establishment

 o f

 Contr act

 Arr angements

 to

 F acilitate

 Connecting

 the Community

 Gr o w er

 Gr oups

 to

 Mark ets

  ....................................................... 71

 4.3.3

 K e y

 Constr aints

 f or

 Do wnstr eam

 V alue

 Chain

 P articipants

  ................................ 72

 4.3.4

 F easibility

 o f

 I mpro v ements:

 T echnical,

 Commer cial,

 F inancial,

 Social,

 and

 Scalability

  ...................................................................................... 73

 5.

 C ONNE CTING

 S MALLHOLDER VE GET ABLE

 F AR MERS

 T O

 MARKET S

 IN

 O THER

 DEVEL OPING

 CENTR AL

 A SIAN

 C OUNTRIES

  ........................................................ 75

 5.1

 K azakhstan

  ................................................................................................... 75

 5.2

 U zbekistan

  ................................................................................................... 76

 5.3

 P akistan

  ....................................................................................................... 76

 6.

 RE C O MMENDED APPR O A CH

 F OR

 PUBLIC SE CT OR

 PR O JECT S

 T O

 INCREA SE

 F AR MING

 INC O MES

  .............................................................................................. 77

 6.1

 Appr oach

 to

 P ublic

 Sector

 P r ojects

  ..................................................................... 77

 6.2

 Appr oach

 to

 P riv ate

 Sector

 Engagement

  ............................................................... 77

 6.3

 R ec ommendations

  .......................................................................................... 77

 APPENDIX

  .............................................................................................................................................. 80

 T ABLES

 1

 Appar ent

 Consumption

 o f

 V egetables,

 2012–2017

  ....................................................... 10

 2

 Estimated

 V e getable

 Mark et

 V alue,

 2012–2017

  ............................................................ 11

 3

 P r oduction,

 Mark ets,

 and

 S tor age

 o f

 L ocal

 F ield

 and

 Gr eenhouse

 Cr ops

  ............................. 12

 4

 V e getable

 P r oduction

 Self-S ufficiency

 R ate,

 2012–2017

  ................................................. 13

 5

 U rban

 and

 R ur al

 P opulation

 o f

 Mongolia,

 2012–2017

  .................................................... 14

 6

 U rban

 and

 R ur al

 P er

 Capita

 A v er age

 Annual

 V e getable

 Consumption,

 2012–2016

  ................ 14

 7

 D iff er enc e

 between

 U rban

 and

 R ur al

 P er

 Capita

 A v er age

 Annual

 V e getable

 Consumption, 2012–2016

  ............................................................................................................ 15

 8

 N ation wide

 Consumption

 o f

 P otato

 and

 V egetables,

 2017

  .............................................. 15

 9

 A v er age

 P otential

 Mark et

 Siz e

 o f

 V egetables,

 b y

 V olume

  ............................................... 16

 10

 Estimation

 o f

 P otential

 Consumption

 o f

 V egetables,

 2018–20 20

  ..................................... 16

 11

 V aluation

 o f

 Mark et

 Siz e

 f or

 P otato

 and

 V egetables

 in

 U rban

 and

 R ur al

 Ar eas,

 b y

 V olume, 2018–20 20

  ......................

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